Risk analysis of dak lay hydroelectric project with Monte-Carlo simulation method

Abstract

    Dak Lay hydroelectric project was built, which will create many account about economics, cultural - social, environmental in Tu M¬ R«ng district aside and in Kon Tum province generally speaking. That is atom, to add electricity in home, contribution voluntary electricity when have occasion. This paper presents the method of determination of risk of the plant with the Monte carlo simulation. The calculation results allow to evaluate the efficient of random element to the plant, forward to in choose functional distribution which use, its served for risk calculation and analysis of the hydroelectric project.