ASSESSING CLIMATE CHANGE RISK AND VULNERABILITY FOR AGRICULTURAL SECTOR IN HOA BINH PROVINCE

Tóm tắt

Hoa Binh is the Northern mountainous province of Viet Nam, with the economy still depends on agriculture. Hoa Binh province in general and the province's agricultural sector in particular have been affected by climate change. Under the climate change scenario, 2016, temperature and precipitation are increasing. This will put more pressure on the province's agricultural sector. This study, using climate change scenario information and documents and local data, assesses the vulnerability and risks of the provincial agricultural sector to climate change to 2030. The results show that some poor mountainous districts, dependent on agriculture, have high sensitivity and high risk, such as Luong Son, Lac Son, and Kimboi district. While Hoa Binh city has low vulnerability and low level of risk because of its small area of agricultural land, small proportion of agriculture in the economy, and high adaptability. In addition, the study also proposes some major solutions on planning, technology, capacity building and economy to minimize the impacts of climate change on districts with high vulnerability and risk.