Studying the effects of climate change on military areas and activities in Ben Tre province

Abstract

The study aims to determine the effects of climate change (CC) and sea level rise (SLR) on constructions and military activities in Ben Tre province according to the scenarios published in 2016 by the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment. In this study, the authors used software such as MIKE 11 and MIKE FLOOD to assess saline intrusion combined with GIS technology applications such as Sufer, ArcGIS to integrate image assessment maps. effects of climate change, inundation, saline intrusion due to climate change, sea level rise to forecast effects corresponding to 2 scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions: RCP4.5, RCP8.5 for with 18 points stationed by units under the Military Command of Ben Tre Province. The study predicted the average annual temperature at the base station ranges from 27.50 - 28.15 ^oC according to RCP4.5 and 27.60 - 28.25 ^oC according to RCP8.5, the average annual rainfall ranges from 1,580 - 1,870 mm according to RCP4.5 and 1,610 - 1,840 mm according to RCP8.5. The simulation results show that the stations stationed in Ben Tre province are inundated by SLR. Regarding the saline intrusion problem, the forecast shows that by 2030, 2040, military stations have high salinity in the range of 18 – 30‰.