Methods of forecasting the long-term electricity in Ninh Thuan province in the period of 2021 - 2030, with a vision to 2045

Abstract

The energy industry plays an extremely important role, especially in the fields of electricity. In order to develop sustainably and ensure national energy security, the forcast computation of electricity loads in Ninh Thuan province in particular and Viet Nam in general is an urgent problem that is always topical for domestic and foreign researchers. This is the basis to make a developed method of electricity infrastructure (transmission lines and substations) in Ninh Thuan province. In this paper, the energy economic method (Eviews) and the direct method based on the spatial development scenario are developed to calculate and forecast electricity loads of Ninh Thuan province in the period of 2021-2030, with a long-term vision of 2045.