01. Forecast of drying of agricultural land by climate change scenario RCP4.5 (phase 2020 - 2035) in Dak Lak province

Abstract

Dak Lak is a locality with great potential for agricultural production development. In recent years, Dak Lak is also one of the localities most affected by climate change, especially the phenomenon of drought. From the climate change scenario RCP4.5 at the beginning of the century 2020 - 2035, the study has built a map to forecast the degree of drought to 2035. Using ArcGIS technology, the research is carried out superimposed on the map of the current state of use. soil, map to forecast the degree of drought. From there, the degree of drought is determined by administrative units and agricultural land use purposes in Dak Lak province until 2035. Specifically, the degree of mild drought is 773.782 ha; the average degree of drought is 252.717 ha; severe drought is 43.468 ha